Texas has an 80% chance of being eliminated

Texas, with a win-loss-loss-loss record, has an 80% chance of being eliminated, with only the ’19 WS miracle’ to be believed in.

The Texas Rangers are on the brink of missing the World Series.

The Rangers dropped a 5-4 decision to the Houston Astros in Game 5 of the American League Championship Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, on Monday (Nov. 21). The A’s led 4-2 through eight innings, but gave up a game-winning three-run homer to Jose Altuve in the top of the ninth.

Texas, which finished the season with a 90-72 record and the second wild-card spot in the American League, advanced to the postseason for the first time in seven years. After sweeping the American League’s second-best team, Tampa Bay (99-63), in two games in the Wild Card Series, the Rangers continued their fall run with a three-game sweep of the American League’s best team, Baltimore (101-61), in the Division Series.

Texas’ run continued in the American League Championship Series. They met the American League West champion Houston (90-72) and swept Game 1 and Game 2 at Houston’s home ballpark, Minute Maid Park. Riding a seven-game postseason winning streak, Texas appeared to be headed to the World Series for the first time in 12 years after finishing as World Series runners-up in 2011.

But once back at home at Globe Life Field, Texas began to fall apart like a house of cards. Starting with a 5-8 loss in Game 3 in the return of ace Max Scherzer, they dropped Games 4 and 5 and quickly found themselves in danger of being eliminated from the series. With Games 6 and 7 at Minute Maid Park on April 23 and 24, Texas needs just one loss to be eliminated from the World Series.

According to MLB.com, the official site of Major League Baseball, “Texas played horribly in Games 3 and 4 of the American League Championship Series and allowed the series to be tied. In tonight’s game, it looked like Texas was going to fight back, but Altuve hit a game-winning three-run homer in the ninth inning.”

In Major League Baseball postseason history, teams with a 3-2 lead in a best-of-seven series have a 71% (79/112) chance of winning the series. Teams that won Game 5 from a 2-2 deficit had the same 71% (46/65) chance of winning the series. For the top teams, in a series with a two-game-home-three-game-road-two-game-home format, 먹튀검증 a team with a three-game lead after winning Game 5 on the road had an 80% (20/25) chance of winning the series. Conversely, Texas has an 80% chance of being eliminated.

Facing the prospect of losing the series, Texas is hoping for a repeat of the 2019 World Series miracle. When Washington and Houston faced off, it was the first time in World Series history that every team won its only game on the road, and Washington won its first championship with a four-game sweep.

Texas hasn’t won a World Series in 62 years, since its inception in 1961. Houston has advanced to the American League Championship Series for the last seven consecutive years, including the franchise’s first World Series title in 2017, two World Series championships (2017, 2022) and two runner-up finishes (2019, 2021).

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